Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.044895 0.052871 0.061796 0.072514 0.085031 0.099181 0.116385
2025-07-13 0.033149 0.043631 0.056660 0.074010 0.096483 0.124580 0.162355
2025-07-20 0.025974 0.037274 0.052508 0.074480 0.105289 0.146883 0.207240
2025-07-27 0.021280 0.032807 0.049429 0.075028 0.113340 0.168412 0.253449
2025-08-03 0.018064 0.029637 0.047327 0.076161 0.121800 0.191031 0.303760
2025-08-10 0.015892 0.027564 0.046353 0.078563 0.132139 0.217359 0.362770
2025-08-17 0.013220 0.024154 0.042626 0.075814 0.133619 0.229696 0.400870
2025-08-24 0.011494 0.022029 0.040639 0.075542 0.138952 0.248655 0.451948
2025-08-31 0.009965 0.019982 0.038435 0.074473 0.142585 0.264928 0.500133
2025-09-07 0.009033 0.018892 0.037774 0.076063 0.151121 0.290692 0.568262
2025-09-14 0.007966 0.017352 0.036019 0.075267 0.154964 0.308175 0.622934
2025-09-21 0.006944 0.015734 0.033865 0.073339 0.156259 0.320839 0.669659
2025-09-28 0.005998 0.014143 0.031568 0.070865 0.156264 0.331279 0.713954
2025-10-05 0.005512 0.013493 0.031167 0.072361 0.164784 0.359948 0.799286
2025-10-12 0.005005 0.012709 0.030355 0.072827 0.171118 0.384795 0.879578
2025-10-19 0.004565 0.012010 0.029626 0.073365 0.177654 0.410795 0.965478
2025-10-26 0.004211 0.011465 0.029174 0.074474 0.185624 0.440843 1.063997
2025-11-02 0.003965 0.011153 0.029235 0.076824 0.196823 0.479459 1.186761
2025-11-09 0.003481 0.010129 0.027379 0.074135 0.195399 0.488607 1.241198
2025-11-16 0.003171 0.009530 0.026520 0.073869 0.199979 0.512532 1.334139
2025-11-23 0.002862 0.008879 0.025425 0.072823 0.202408 0.531467 1.416953
2025-11-30 0.002691 0.008600 0.025299 0.074377 0.211882 0.569059 1.551434
2025-12-07 0.002448 0.008065 0.024381 0.073599 0.214952 0.590634 1.646941